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UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 1 Oct 2022, 01:00 · completed

Mackenzie Dern vs Yan Xiaonan

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

red corner
women's straw weight
Illustrated avatar
17 UFC bouts · last fought 15 Aug 2026

Mackenzie Dern

UFC rec12-5-0
Elo1729
Strike acc41%
Strike def53%
TD defence41%
KO · SUB0 · 5
Age29
Reach160 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossWinWinWinWin
blue corner
women's straw weight
Illustrated avatar
14 UFC bouts · last fought 29 Aug 2026

Yan Xiaonan

UFC rec9-5-0
Elo1638
Strike acc45%
Strike def60%
TD defence65%
KO · SUB1 · 0
Age33
Reach160 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossWinLossLoss

Head to head

12-5-0
UFC record (2013 on)
9-5-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
0
Wins by KO/TKO
1
5
Wins by submission
0
1729
Elo rating
1638
41%
Striking accuracy
45%
53%
Striking defence
60%
3.38
Landed per min
4.67
3.74
Absorbed per min
3.24
41%
Takedown defence
65%
1.07
Takedowns per 15
0.82
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
29
Age
33
160 cm
Reach
160 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.