red corner
Illustrated avatar
21 UFC bouts · last fought 28 Mar 2026
Michael Chiesa
“Maverick”
UFC rec14-7-0
Elo1710
Strike acc40%
Strike def58%
TD defence66%
KO · SUB0 · 8
Age26
Reach191 cm
Southpaw
Last 5LossWinWinWinWin
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw · 24 May 2014, 01:00 · completed
Michael Chiesa vs Francisco Trinaldo
No forecast available for this bout yet.
No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.
blue corner
Illustrated avatar
23 UFC bouts · last fought 1 Oct 2022
Francisco Trinaldo
“Massaranduba”
UFC rec16-7-0
Elo1685
Strike acc45%
Strike def61%
TD defence61%
KO · SUB4 · 1
Age35
Reach178 cm
Southpaw
Last 5WinLossWinWinLoss
Head to head
14-7-0
UFC record (2013 on)
16-7-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
0
Wins by KO/TKO
4
8
Wins by submission
1
1710
Elo rating
1685
40%
Striking accuracy
45%
58%
Striking defence
61%
2.00
Landed per min
3.15
1.71
Absorbed per min
2.76
66%
Takedown defence
61%
3.08
Takedowns per 15
0.96
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
26
Age
35
191 cm
Reach
178 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).
Odds Intelligence
Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.
Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.
Forecast revisions
None recorded.