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UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 13 Dec 2025, 00:00 · completed

Melquizael Costa vs Morgan Charriere

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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Brazilfeather weight
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10 UFC bouts · last fought 16 May 2026

Melquizael Costa

“The Dalmatian”
UFC rec7-3-0
Elo1664
Strike acc47%
Strike def50%
TD defence51%
KO · SUB2 · 2
Age29
Reach180 cm
Southpaw
Last 5WinWinWinWinLoss
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feather weight
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7 UFC bouts · last fought 5 Sept 2026

Morgan Charriere

“The Last Pirate”
UFC rec3-4-0
Elo1510
Strike acc43%
Strike def52%
TD defence71%
KO · SUB3 · 0
Age30
Reach175 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossWinLossLoss

Head to head

7-3-0
UFC record (2013 on)
3-4-0
26-8-0
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
2
Wins by KO/TKO
3
2
Wins by submission
0
1664
Elo rating
1510
47%
Striking accuracy
43%
50%
Striking defence
52%
4.29
Landed per min
3.65
3.19
Absorbed per min
5.18
51%
Takedown defence
71%
1.53
Takedowns per 15
1.59
Brazil
Country
Unavailable
29
Age
30
180 cm
Reach
175 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.