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UFC Fight Night: Procházka vs. Stirling · 21 Nov 2026, 15:00 · scheduled

Jiri Prochazka vs Navajo Stirling

Jiri Prochazka 28%72% Navajo Stirling

Probability of winning, given a decisive result (draws / no contests excluded)

Model logistic-regression · generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · data completeness 100%

Main statistical drivers (associations, not causes)
  1. strikes absorbed favours Navajo Stirling
  2. age favours Navajo Stirling
  3. striking defence favours Navajo Stirling

Model accuracy is measured on Model Lab. It is currently behind the bookmaker consensus, so a gap between the two is more likely the model’s than an opportunity.

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

AI prediction · logistic-regression
Jiri Prochazka 28% · Navajo Stirling 72%
Bookmaker consensus · 3 bookmakers
Jiri Prochazka 45% · Navajo Stirling 55%
Updated 2 h ago
AI versus market
−17.3 pp for Jiri Prochazka
Percentage points. A disagreement, not a tip.

Bookmakers

Bookmaker ↑Jiri ProchazkaNavajo StirlingUpdated
Betclic (FR)2.051.692 h ago
BetOnline.ag2.241.692 h ago
Winamax (FR)1.901.802 h ago

Market movement

Not enough history in this range (1 point). History is collected from now on; none is back-filled.

Shows Jiri Prochazka’s consensus probability. First observed price is not the bookmaker’s opening price, and the last captured price is not the official closing price.

Head to head

MeasureJiri ProchazkaNavajo Stirling
UFC record since 20136-3-06-0-0
Height (cm)190.5193.04
Reach (cm)203.2200.66
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox

“—” means the source did not supply the value. It is not zero.

Forecast revisions

  • first · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression
  • latest · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression