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JP
Illustrated avatar
9 UFC bouts · last fought 11 Apr 2026
Jiri Prochazka
UFC rec6-3-0
Elo1719
Strike acc56%
Strike def45%
TD defence68%
KO · SUB5 · 1
Age34
Reach203 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossWinWinLoss
UFC Fight Night: Procházka vs. Stirling · 21 Nov 2026, 15:00 · scheduled
Jiri Prochazka vs Navajo Stirling
Jiri Prochazka 28%72% Navajo Stirling
Probability of winning, given a decisive result (draws / no contests excluded)
Model logistic-regression · generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · data completeness 100%
Main statistical drivers (associations, not causes)
- strikes absorbed favours Navajo Stirling
- age favours Navajo Stirling
- striking defence favours Navajo Stirling
Model accuracy is measured on Model Lab. It is currently behind the bookmaker consensus, so a gap between the two is more likely the model’s than an opportunity.
blue corner
NS
Illustrated avatar
6 UFC bouts · last fought 1 Aug 2026
Navajo Stirling
UFC rec6-0-0
Elo1719
Strike acc54%
Strike def59%
TD defence70%
KO · SUB3 · 0
Age29
Reach201 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinWinWin
Head to head
6-3-0
UFC record (2013 on)
6-0-0
32-6-1
Pro record (ESPN)
11-0-0
5
Wins by KO/TKO
3
1
Wins by submission
0
1719
Elo rating
1719
56%
Striking accuracy
54%
45%
Striking defence
59%
5.61
Landed per min
6.41
5.67
Absorbed per min
2.46
68%
Takedown defence
70%
0.49
Takedowns per 15
0.92
Czechia
Country
New Zealand
34
Age
29
203 cm
Reach
201 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).
Odds Intelligence
Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.
AI prediction · logistic-regression
Jiri Prochazka 28% · Navajo Stirling 72%
Bookmaker consensus · 3 bookmakers
Jiri Prochazka 45% · Navajo Stirling 55%
Updated 3 h ago
AI versus market
−17.3 pp for Jiri Prochazka
Percentage points. A disagreement, not a tip.
Bookmakers
| Bookmaker ↑ | Jiri Prochazka | Navajo Stirling | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05 | 1.69 | 3 h ago |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24 | 1.69 | 3 h ago |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90 | 1.80 | 3 h ago |
Market movement
Not enough history in this range (1 point). History is collected from now on; none is back-filled.
Shows Jiri Prochazka’s consensus probability. First observed price is not the bookmaker’s opening price, and the last captured price is not the official closing price.
Forecast revisions
- first · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression
- latest · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression