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UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 16 Aug 2025, 01:00 · completed

Lerone Murphy vs Aaron Pico

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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11 UFC bouts · last fought 21 Mar 2026

Lerone Murphy

“The Miracle”
UFC rec9-1-1
Elo1780
Strike acc51%
Strike def60%
TD defence44%
KO · SUB3 · 0
Age34
Reach185 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinWinLoss
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feather weight
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3 UFC bouts · last fought 24 Oct 2026

Aaron Pico

UFC rec2-1-0
Elo1580
Strike acc54%
Strike def45%
TD defence—
KO · SUB1 · 0
Age28
Reach178 cm
Orthodox
Last 3LossWinWin

Head to head

9-1-1
UFC record (2013 on)
2-1-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
3
Wins by KO/TKO
1
0
Wins by submission
0
1780
Elo rating
1580
51%
Striking accuracy
54%
60%
Striking defence
45%
4.34
Landed per min
6.16
2.65
Absorbed per min
3.11
44%
Takedown defence
Unavailable
1.20
Takedowns per 15
6.54
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
34
Age
28
185 cm
Reach
178 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.