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UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 1 Oct 2022, 01:00 · completed

John Castaneda vs Daniel Santos

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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10 UFC bouts · last fought 26 Sept 2026

John Castaneda

“Sexi Mexi”
UFC rec4-5-1
Elo1503
Strike acc52%
Strike def55%
TD defence74%
KO · SUB1 · 1
Age30
Reach180 cm
Switch
Last 5WinLossLossDrawLoss
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7 UFC bouts · last fought 24 Oct 2026

Daniel Santos

“Willycat”
UFC rec5-2-0
Elo1608
Strike acc40%
Strike def50%
TD defence73%
KO · SUB2 · 0
Age27
Reach170 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinLossWin

Head to head

4-5-1
UFC record (2013 on)
5-2-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
1
Wins by KO/TKO
2
1
Wins by submission
0
1503
Elo rating
1608
52%
Striking accuracy
40%
55%
Striking defence
50%
5.00
Landed per min
5.15
5.07
Absorbed per min
5.38
74%
Takedown defence
73%
1.26
Takedowns per 15
2.60
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
30
Age
27
180 cm
Reach
170 cm
Switch
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.