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UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · 14 Nov 2026, 22:00 · scheduled

Kayla Harrison vs Amanda Nunes

Kayla Harrison 45%55% Amanda Nunes

Probability of winning, given a decisive result (draws / no contests excluded)

Model logistic-regression · generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · data completeness 100%

Main statistical drivers (associations, not causes)
  1. Elo rating gap favours Amanda Nunes
  2. age favours Kayla Harrison
  3. stance favours Kayla Harrison

Model accuracy is measured on Model Lab. It is currently behind the bookmaker consensus, so a gap between the two is more likely the model’s than an opportunity.

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

AI prediction · logistic-regression
Kayla Harrison 45% · Amanda Nunes 55%
Bookmaker consensus · 19 bookmakers
Kayla Harrison 64% · Amanda Nunes 36%
Updated 2 h ago
AI versus market
−18.6 pp for Kayla Harrison
Percentage points. A disagreement, not a tip.

Bookmakers

Bookmaker ↑Kayla HarrisonAmanda NunesUpdated
888sport1.472.652 h ago
BetAnything1.502.702 h ago
Betclic (FR)1.462.532 h ago
Betfair1.532.682 h ago
Betfair1.532.682 h ago
Betfair Sportsbook1.442.632 h ago
BetOnline.ag1.502.692 h ago
Betsson1.482.602 h ago
Coolbet1.512.652 h ago
Grosvenor1.362.382 h ago
LiveScore Bet1.492.632 h ago
Nordic Bet1.482.622 h ago
Paddy Power1.442.622 h ago
Pinnacle1.552.552 h ago
Sky Bet1.442.632 h ago
Unibet (FR)1.441.942 h ago
Unibet (UK)1.452.552 h ago
Virgin Bet1.492.632 h ago
Winamax (FR)1.442.502 h ago

Market movement

Not enough history in this range (1 point). History is collected from now on; none is back-filled.

Shows Kayla Harrison’s consensus probability. First observed price is not the bookmaker’s opening price, and the last captured price is not the official closing price.

Head to head

MeasureKayla HarrisonAmanda Nunes
UFC record since 20133-0-016-2-0
Height (cm)172.72172.72
Reach (cm)167.64175.26
StanceSouthpawOrthodox

“—” means the source did not supply the value. It is not zero.

Forecast revisions

  • first · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression
  • latest · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression