Skip to content

UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 5 Mar 2016, 00:00 · completed

Conor McGregor vs Nate Diaz

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

red corner
welter weight
Illustrated avatar
15 UFC bouts · last fought 11 Jul 2026

Conor McGregor

“The Notorious”
UFC rec10-5-0
Elo1666
Strike acc50%
Strike def54%
TD defence67%
KO · SUB8 · 0
Age27
Reach188 cm
Southpaw
Last 5LossWinLossLossLoss
blue corner
welter weight
Illustrated avatar
10 UFC bouts · last fought 10 Sept 2022

Nate Diaz

UFC rec5-5-0
Elo1599
Strike acc47%
Strike def49%
TD defence35%
KO · SUB1 · 2
Age30
Reach193 cm
Southpaw
Last 5LossWinLossLossWin

Head to head

10-5-0
UFC record (2013 on)
5-5-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
8
Wins by KO/TKO
1
0
Wins by submission
2
1666
Elo rating
1599
50%
Striking accuracy
47%
54%
Striking defence
49%
5.27
Landed per min
5.37
4.71
Absorbed per min
5.28
67%
Takedown defence
35%
0.66
Takedowns per 15
0.40
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
27
Age
30
188 cm
Reach
193 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.