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UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 29 Dec 2018, 00:00 · completed

Carlos Condit vs Michael Chiesa

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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12 UFC bouts · last fought 10 Jul 2021

Carlos Condit

“The Natural Born Killer”
UFC rec4-8-0
Elo1465
Strike acc38%
Strike def53%
TD defence36%
KO · SUB2 · 0
Age34
Reach191 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossLossWinWinLoss
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21 UFC bouts · last fought 28 Mar 2026

Michael Chiesa

“Maverick”
UFC rec14-7-0
Elo1710
Strike acc40%
Strike def58%
TD defence66%
KO · SUB0 · 8
Age31
Reach191 cm
Southpaw
Last 5LossWinWinWinWin

Head to head

4-8-0
UFC record (2013 on)
14-7-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
2
Wins by KO/TKO
0
0
Wins by submission
8
1465
Elo rating
1710
38%
Striking accuracy
40%
53%
Striking defence
58%
4.37
Landed per min
2.00
3.10
Absorbed per min
1.71
36%
Takedown defence
66%
0.50
Takedowns per 15
3.08
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
34
Age
31
191 cm
Reach
191 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.