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UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 24 Feb 2024, 00:00 · completed

Jesus Aguilar vs Mateus Mendonca

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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fly weight
Illustrated avatar
7 UFC bouts · last fought 7 Mar 2026

Jesus Aguilar

UFC rec4-3-0
Elo1514
Strike acc37%
Strike def61%
TD defence46%
KO · SUB1 · 1
Age27
Reach157 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinLossWinLoss
blue corner
fly weight
Illustrated avatar
3 UFC bouts · last fought 24 Feb 2024

Mateus Mendonca

“Bocao”
UFC rec0-3-0
Elo1388
Strike acc37%
Strike def29%
TD defence56%
KO · SUB0 · 0
Age25
Reach180 cm
Orthodox
Last 3LossLossLoss

Head to head

4-3-0
UFC record (2013 on)
0-3-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
1
Wins by KO/TKO
0
1
Wins by submission
0
1514
Elo rating
1388
37%
Striking accuracy
37%
61%
Striking defence
29%
2.63
Landed per min
1.44
2.48
Absorbed per min
4.12
46%
Takedown defence
56%
1.11
Takedowns per 15
2.60
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
27
Age
25
157 cm
Reach
180 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.