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26 UFC bouts · last fought 11 Apr 2026
Kelvin Gastelum
UFC rec14-11-0 (1 NC)
Elo1594
Strike acc42%
Strike def57%
TD defence60%
KO · SUB3 · 2
Age22
Reach180 cm
Southpaw
Last 5LossWinLossWinLoss
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 15 Mar 2014, 00:00 · completed
Kelvin Gastelum vs Rick Story
No forecast available for this bout yet.
No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.
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8 UFC bouts · last fought 20 Aug 2016
Rick Story
“The Horror”
UFC rec5-3-0
Elo1611
Strike acc44%
Strike def56%
TD defence81%
KO · SUB1 · 1
Age29
Reach180 cm
Southpaw
Last 5LossWinWinWinLoss
Head to head
14-11-0
UFC record (2013 on)
5-3-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
3
Wins by KO/TKO
1
2
Wins by submission
1
1594
Elo rating
1611
42%
Striking accuracy
44%
57%
Striking defence
56%
3.65
Landed per min
4.50
3.52
Absorbed per min
2.78
60%
Takedown defence
81%
1.04
Takedowns per 15
1.61
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
22
Age
29
180 cm
Reach
180 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).
Odds Intelligence
Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.
Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.
Forecast revisions
None recorded.