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UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 3 Aug 2024, 01:00 · completed

Joel Alvarez vs Elves Brener

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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12 UFC bouts · last fought 15 Aug 2026

Joel Alvarez

“El Fenomeno”
UFC rec8-4-0
Elo1630
Strike acc53%
Strike def48%
TD defence48%
KO · SUB4 · 3
Age31
Reach196 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinLossLoss
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light weight
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7 UFC bouts · last fought 26 Sept 2026

Elves Brener

UFC rec4-3-0
Elo1559
Strike acc48%
Strike def51%
TD defence71%
KO · SUB3 · 0
Age26
Reach183 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossLossLossWin

Head to head

8-4-0
UFC record (2013 on)
4-3-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
4
Wins by KO/TKO
3
3
Wins by submission
0
1630
Elo rating
1559
53%
Striking accuracy
48%
48%
Striking defence
51%
4.59
Landed per min
4.82
4.13
Absorbed per min
5.67
48%
Takedown defence
71%
0.15
Takedowns per 15
0.94
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
31
Age
26
196 cm
Reach
183 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.