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UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 7 Jun 2025, 01:00 · completed

MarQuel Mederos vs Mark Choinski

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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light weight
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5 UFC bouts · last fought 22 Aug 2026

MarQuel Mederos

UFC rec4-0-1
Elo1656
Strike acc60%
Strike def52%
TD defence75%
KO · SUB1 · 0
Age28
Reach175 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinDrawWin
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light weight
Illustrated avatar
1 UFC bout · last fought 7 Jun 2025Limited history

Mark Choinski

“The Shark”
UFC rec0-1-0
Elo1452
Strike acc51%
Strike def33%
TD defence—
KO · SUB0 · 0
Age29
Reach175 cm
Orthodox
Last 1Loss

Head to head

4-0-1
UFC record (2013 on)
0-1-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
1
Wins by KO/TKO
0
0
Wins by submission
0
1656
Elo rating
1452
60%
Striking accuracy
51%
52%
Striking defence
33%
5.94
Landed per min
3.87
5.41
Absorbed per min
7.33
75%
Takedown defence
Unavailable
0.22
Takedowns per 15
2.00
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
28
Age
29
175 cm
Reach
175 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example). Limited history on at least one fighter.

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.