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UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker · 7 Nov 2026, 22:00 · scheduled

Jose Delano vs Murtazali Magomedov

Jose Delano 46%54% Murtazali Magomedov

Probability of winning, given a decisive result (draws / no contests excluded)

Model logistic-regression · generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · data completeness 80%

⚠ Limited evidence: at least one fighter has fewer than 3 prior UFC bouts in the data, so this forecast is less reliable.

Main statistical drivers (associations, not causes)
  1. takedown volume favours Murtazali Magomedov
  2. age favours Murtazali Magomedov
  3. finishing rate favours Murtazali Magomedov

Model accuracy is measured on Model Lab. It is currently behind the bookmaker consensus, so a gap between the two is more likely the model’s than an opportunity.

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

AI prediction · logistic-regression
Jose Delano 46% · Murtazali Magomedov 54%
Bookmaker consensus · 10 bookmakers
Jose Delano 48% · Murtazali Magomedov 52%
Updated 2 h ago
AI versus market
−1.7 pp for Jose Delano
Percentage points. A disagreement, not a tip.

Bookmakers

Bookmaker ↑Jose DelanoMurtazali MagomedovUpdated
888sport2.051.752 h ago
BetAnything1.911.832 h ago
BetOnline.ag2.031.832 h ago
Betway1.831.952 h ago
Coolbet1.951.892 h ago
Grosvenor1.871.632 h ago
LiveScore Bet2.051.772 h ago
Pinnacle2.021.852 h ago
Unibet (UK)1.951.782 h ago
Virgin Bet2.051.772 h ago

Market movement

Not enough history in this range (1 point). History is collected from now on; none is back-filled.

Shows Jose Delano’s consensus probability. First observed price is not the bookmaker’s opening price, and the last captured price is not the official closing price.

Head to head

MeasureJose DelanoMurtazali Magomedov
UFC record since 20131-0-01-0-0
Height (cm)172.72175.26
Reach (cm)177.8177.8
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox

“—” means the source did not supply the value. It is not zero.

Forecast revisions

  • first · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression
  • latest · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression