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UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 14 Dec 2019, 00:00 · completed

Marlon Moraes vs Jose Aldo

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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11 UFC bouts · last fought 12 Mar 2022

Marlon Moraes

“Magic”
UFC rec5-6-0
Elo1577
Strike acc41%
Strike def54%
TD defence46%
KO · SUB2 · 1
Age31
Reach170 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossLossLossLoss
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19 UFC bouts · last fought 10 May 2025

Jose Aldo

UFC rec10-9-0
Elo1652
Strike acc47%
Strike def56%
TD defence93%
KO · SUB3 · 0
Age33
Reach178 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossWinLossLoss

Head to head

5-6-0
UFC record (2013 on)
10-9-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
2
Wins by KO/TKO
3
1
Wins by submission
0
1577
Elo rating
1652
41%
Striking accuracy
47%
54%
Striking defence
56%
3.37
Landed per min
3.74
4.53
Absorbed per min
4.72
46%
Takedown defence
93%
0.87
Takedowns per 15
0.40
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
31
Age
33
170 cm
Reach
178 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.