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UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 7 May 2022, 01:00 · completed

Michael Chandler vs Tony Ferguson

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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light weight
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8 UFC bouts · last fought 14 Jun 2026

Michael Chandler

“Iron”
UFC rec2-6-0
Elo1523
Strike acc50%
Strike def41%
TD defence56%
KO · SUB2 · 0
Age36
Reach180 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossLossLossLoss
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light weight
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20 UFC bouts · last fought 3 Aug 2024

Tony Ferguson

“El Cucuy”
UFC rec12-8-0
Elo1543
Strike acc49%
Strike def53%
TD defence63%
KO · SUB3 · 6
Age38
Reach193 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossLossLossLossLoss

Head to head

2-6-0
UFC record (2013 on)
12-8-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
2
Wins by KO/TKO
3
0
Wins by submission
6
1523
Elo rating
1543
50%
Striking accuracy
49%
41%
Striking defence
53%
3.85
Landed per min
5.05
4.75
Absorbed per min
4.52
56%
Takedown defence
63%
1.63
Takedowns per 15
0.26
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
36
Age
38
180 cm
Reach
193 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.