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UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 7 May 2022, 01:00 · completed

Charles Oliveira vs Justin Gaethje

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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29 UFC bouts · last fought 7 Mar 2026

Charles Oliveira

“Do Bronxs”
UFC rec21-8-0
Elo1862
Strike acc58%
Strike def46%
TD defence54%
KO · SUB4 · 13
Age32
Reach188 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossWinLossWinWin
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16 UFC bouts · last fought 14 Jun 2026

Justin Gaethje

“The Highlight”
UFC rec11-5-0
Elo1848
Strike acc58%
Strike def51%
TD defence73%
KO · SUB7 · 0
Age33
Reach178 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossWinWinWin

Head to head

21-8-0
UFC record (2013 on)
11-5-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
4
Wins by KO/TKO
7
13
Wins by submission
0
1862
Elo rating
1848
58%
Striking accuracy
58%
46%
Striking defence
51%
3.16
Landed per min
6.29
3.12
Absorbed per min
6.83
54%
Takedown defence
73%
2.27
Takedowns per 15
0.30
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
32
Age
33
188 cm
Reach
178 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.