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UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 26 Feb 2022, 00:00 · completed

Arman Tsarukyan vs Joel Alvarez

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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13 UFC bouts · last fought 19 Sept 2026

Arman Tsarukyan

“The Batman”
UFC rec11-2-0
Elo1841
Strike acc50%
Strike def55%
TD defence75%
KO · SUB5 · 1
Age25
Reach183 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinWinWin
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light weight
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12 UFC bouts · last fought 15 Aug 2026

Joel Alvarez

“El Fenomeno”
UFC rec8-4-0
Elo1630
Strike acc53%
Strike def48%
TD defence48%
KO · SUB4 · 3
Age28
Reach196 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinLossLoss

Head to head

11-2-0
UFC record (2013 on)
8-4-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
5
Wins by KO/TKO
4
1
Wins by submission
3
1841
Elo rating
1630
50%
Striking accuracy
53%
55%
Striking defence
48%
3.78
Landed per min
4.59
1.77
Absorbed per min
4.13
75%
Takedown defence
48%
3.25
Takedowns per 15
0.15
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
25
Age
28
183 cm
Reach
196 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.