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UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 18 Nov 2023, 00:00 · completed

Michael Morales vs Jake Matthews

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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welter weight
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7 UFC bouts · last fought 15 Nov 2025

Michael Morales

UFC rec7-0-0
Elo1812
Strike acc50%
Strike def57%
TD defence88%
KO · SUB5 · 0
Age24
Reach201 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinWinWin
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Australiawelter weight
Photo of Jake Matthews
Photo: Realistkilla · CC0
24 UFC bouts · last fought 30 May 2026

Jake Matthews

“The Celtic Kid”
UFC rec16-8-0
Elo1679
Strike acc44%
Strike def61%
TD defence67%
KO · SUB2 · 6
Age29
Reach185 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinLossWin

Head to head

7-0-0
UFC record (2013 on)
16-8-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
23-8-0
5
Wins by KO/TKO
2
0
Wins by submission
6
1812
Elo rating
1679
50%
Striking accuracy
44%
57%
Striking defence
61%
6.25
Landed per min
3.36
3.21
Absorbed per min
2.58
88%
Takedown defence
67%
0.26
Takedowns per 15
1.36
Unavailable
Country
Australia
24
Age
29
201 cm
Reach
185 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.