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UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker · 7 Nov 2026, 22:00 · scheduled

Mantas Kondratavicius vs Andre Petroski

Mantas Kondratavicius 66%34% Andre Petroski

Probability of winning, given a decisive result (draws / no contests excluded)

Model logistic-regression · generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · data completeness 90%

⚠ Limited evidence: at least one fighter has fewer than 3 prior UFC bouts in the data, so this forecast is less reliable.

Main statistical drivers (associations, not causes)
  1. age favours Mantas Kondratavicius
  2. takedown volume favours Andre Petroski
  3. striking accuracy favours Mantas Kondratavicius

Model accuracy is measured on Model Lab. It is currently behind the bookmaker consensus, so a gap between the two is more likely the model’s than an opportunity.

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

AI prediction · logistic-regression
Mantas Kondratavicius 66% · Andre Petroski 34%
Bookmaker consensus · 14 bookmakers
Mantas Kondratavicius 72% · Andre Petroski 28%
Updated 76 min ago
AI versus market
−6.2 pp for Mantas Kondratavicius
Percentage points. A disagreement, not a tip.

Bookmakers

Bookmaker ↑Mantas KondrataviciusAndre PetroskiUpdated
888sport1.303.4077 min ago
BetAnything1.313.4077 min ago
Betclic (FR)1.273.4577 min ago
BetOnline.ag1.313.6276 min ago
Betsson1.283.6077 min ago
Betway1.303.5077 min ago
Coolbet1.323.5577 min ago
Grosvenor1.252.8576 min ago
LiveScore Bet1.353.2077 min ago
Nordic Bet1.283.6576 min ago
Pinnacle1.353.3676 min ago
Unibet (UK)1.283.4076 min ago
Virgin Bet1.353.2076 min ago
Winamax (FR)1.253.1577 min ago

Market movement

Not enough history in this range (1 point). History is collected from now on; none is back-filled.

Shows Mantas Kondratavicius’s consensus probability. First observed price is not the bookmaker’s opening price, and the last captured price is not the official closing price.

Head to head

MeasureMantas KondrataviciusAndre Petroski
UFC record since 20131-0-08-5-0
Height (cm)187.96182.88
Reach (cm)190.5185.42
StanceOrthodoxSwitch

“—” means the source did not supply the value. It is not zero.

Forecast revisions

  • first · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression
  • latest · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression