UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · 14 Nov 2026, 22:00 · scheduled
Bilal Hasan vs Luis Gurule
Probability of winning, given a decisive result (draws / no contests excluded)
Model logistic-regression · generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · data completeness 90%
⚠ Limited evidence: at least one fighter has fewer than 3 prior UFC bouts in the data, so this forecast is less reliable.
- Elo rating gap favours Bilal Hasan
- age favours Bilal Hasan
- career win rate favours Luis Gurule
Model accuracy is measured on Model Lab. It is currently behind the bookmaker consensus, so a gap between the two is more likely the model’s than an opportunity.
Odds Intelligence
Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.
Bookmakers
| Bookmaker ↑ | Bilal Hasan | Luis Gurule | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | 1.11 | 6.10 | 2 h ago |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.06 | 7.25 | 2 h ago |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.11 | 7.25 | 2 h ago |
| Betsson | 1.09 | 7.10 | 2 h ago |
| Grosvenor | 1.03 | 5.75 | 2 h ago |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.11 | 6.75 | 2 h ago |
| Nordic Bet | 1.07 | 7.00 | 2 h ago |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.09 | 6.25 | 2 h ago |
| Virgin Bet | 1.11 | 6.75 | 2 h ago |
Market movement
Not enough history in this range (1 point). History is collected from now on; none is back-filled.
Shows Bilal Hasan’s consensus probability. First observed price is not the bookmaker’s opening price, and the last captured price is not the official closing price.
Head to head
| Measure | Bilal Hasan | Luis Gurule |
|---|---|---|
| UFC record since 2013 | 1-0-0 | 1-4-0 |
| Height (cm) | 170.18 | 165.1 |
| Reach (cm) | 177.8 | 162.56 |
| Stance | Switch | Orthodox |
“—” means the source did not supply the value. It is not zero.
Forecast revisions
- first · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression
- latest · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression