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BH
Illustrated avatar
1 UFC bout · last fought 29 Aug 2026Limited history
Bilal Hasan
“The IndoNinja”
UFC rec1-0-0
Elo1564
Strike acc41%
Strike def50%
TD defence—
KO · SUB1 · 0
Age25
Reach178 cm
Switch
Last 1Win
UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · 14 Nov 2026, 22:00 · scheduled
Bilal Hasan vs Luis Gurule
Bilal Hasan 75%25% Luis Gurule
Probability of winning, given a decisive result (draws / no contests excluded)
Model logistic-regression · generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · data completeness 90%
⚠ Limited evidence: at least one fighter has fewer than 3 prior UFC bouts in the data, so this forecast is less reliable.
Main statistical drivers (associations, not causes)
- Elo rating gap favours Bilal Hasan
- age favours Bilal Hasan
- career win rate favours Luis Gurule
Model accuracy is measured on Model Lab. It is currently behind the bookmaker consensus, so a gap between the two is more likely the model’s than an opportunity.
blue corner
LG
Illustrated avatar
5 UFC bouts · last fought 30 May 2026
Luis Gurule
“Grim”
UFC rec1-4-0
Elo1389
Strike acc41%
Strike def57%
TD defence73%
KO · SUB0 · 0
Age32
Reach163 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossLossLossWinLoss
Head to head
1-0-0
UFC record (2013 on)
1-4-0
10-0-0
Pro record (ESPN)
11-4-0
1
Wins by KO/TKO
0
0
Wins by submission
0
1564
Elo rating
1389
41%
Striking accuracy
41%
50%
Striking defence
57%
7.10
Landed per min
5.02
4.42
Absorbed per min
5.65
Unavailable
Takedown defence
73%
2.01
Takedowns per 15
0.81
Indonesia
Country
USA
25
Age
32
178 cm
Reach
163 cm
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example). Limited history on at least one fighter.
Odds Intelligence
Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.
AI prediction · logistic-regression
Bilal Hasan 75% · Luis Gurule 25%
Bookmaker consensus · 9 bookmakers
Bilal Hasan 86% · Luis Gurule 14%
Updated 3 h ago
AI versus market
−10.5 pp for Bilal Hasan
Percentage points. A disagreement, not a tip.
Bookmakers
| Bookmaker ↑ | Bilal Hasan | Luis Gurule | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | 1.11 | 6.10 | 3 h ago |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.06 | 7.25 | 3 h ago |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.11 | 7.25 | 3 h ago |
| Betsson | 1.09 | 7.10 | 3 h ago |
| Grosvenor | 1.03 | 5.75 | 3 h ago |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.11 | 6.75 | 3 h ago |
| Nordic Bet | 1.07 | 7.00 | 3 h ago |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.09 | 6.25 | 3 h ago |
| Virgin Bet | 1.11 | 6.75 | 3 h ago |
Market movement
Not enough history in this range (1 point). History is collected from now on; none is back-filled.
Shows Bilal Hasan’s consensus probability. First observed price is not the bookmaker’s opening price, and the last captured price is not the official closing price.
Forecast revisions
- first · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression
- latest · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression