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UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 17 May 2025, 01:00 · completed

Yadier del Valle vs Connor Matthews

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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4 UFC bouts · last fought 8 Aug 2026

Yadier del Valle

“The Cuban Problem”
UFC rec3-1-0
Elo1589
Strike acc46%
Strike def66%
TD defence60%
KO · SUB1 · 2
Age28
Reach175 cm
Southpaw
Last 4WinWinLossWin
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feather weight
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3 UFC bouts · last fought 17 May 2025

Connor Matthews

“The Controller”
UFC rec0-3-0
Elo1353
Strike acc40%
Strike def55%
TD defence0%
KO · SUB0 · 0
Age32
Reach180 cm
Switch
Last 3LossLossLoss

Head to head

3-1-0
UFC record (2013 on)
0-3-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
1
Wins by KO/TKO
0
2
Wins by submission
0
1589
Elo rating
1353
46%
Striking accuracy
40%
66%
Striking defence
55%
1.26
Landed per min
4.25
0.90
Absorbed per min
6.96
60%
Takedown defence
0%
0.68
Takedowns per 15
2.77
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
28
Age
32
175 cm
Reach
180 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Switch

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.