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UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 11 Jan 2025, 00:00 · completed

Ernesta Kareckaite vs Nicolle Caliari

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

red corner
women's fly weight
Illustrated avatar
4 UFC bouts · last fought 10 Oct 2026

Ernesta Kareckaite

“Heavy-Handed”
UFC rec1-2-1
Elo1451
Strike acc40%
Strike def53%
TD defence82%
KO · SUB0 · 0
Age26
Reach180 cm
Orthodox
Last 4LossWinLossDraw
blue corner
women's fly weight
Illustrated avatar
4 UFC bouts · last fought 24 Oct 2026

Nicolle Caliari

UFC rec1-3-0
Elo1419
Strike acc39%
Strike def53%
TD defence100%
KO · SUB0 · 1
Age28
Reach157 cm
Orthodox
Last 4LossLossWinLoss

Head to head

1-2-1
UFC record (2013 on)
1-3-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
0
Wins by KO/TKO
0
0
Wins by submission
1
1451
Elo rating
1419
40%
Striking accuracy
39%
53%
Striking defence
53%
5.02
Landed per min
3.00
4.35
Absorbed per min
5.88
82%
Takedown defence
100%
0.50
Takedowns per 15
3.03
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
26
Age
28
180 cm
Reach
157 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.