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UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 11 Jul 2026, 01:00 · completed

Alessandro Costa vs Cody Durden

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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Brazilfly weight
Illustrated avatar
8 UFC bouts · last fought 11 Jul 2026

Alessandro Costa

“Nono”
UFC rec5-3-0
Elo1567
Strike acc49%
Strike def54%
TD defence85%
KO · SUB4 · 1
Age30
Reach170 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossWinWinWin
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fly weight
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18 UFC bouts · last fought 31 Oct 2026

Cody Durden

“Custom Made”
UFC rec8-9-1
Elo1471
Strike acc44%
Strike def51%
TD defence57%
KO · SUB1 · 1
Age35
Reach170 cm
Southpaw
Last 5LossLossWinLossWin

Head to head

5-3-0
UFC record (2013 on)
8-9-1
17-5-0
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
4
Wins by KO/TKO
1
1
Wins by submission
1
1567
Elo rating
1471
49%
Striking accuracy
44%
54%
Striking defence
51%
3.94
Landed per min
3.27
3.81
Absorbed per min
3.89
85%
Takedown defence
57%
0.85
Takedowns per 15
3.82
Brazil
Country
Unavailable
30
Age
35
170 cm
Reach
170 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.