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UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · 14 Nov 2026, 22:00 · scheduled

Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit

Ciryl Gane 63%37% Josh Hokit

Probability of winning, given a decisive result (draws / no contests excluded)

Model logistic-regression · generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · data completeness 100%

Main statistical drivers (associations, not causes)
  1. age favours Josh Hokit
  2. Elo rating gap favours Ciryl Gane
  3. strikes absorbed favours Ciryl Gane

Model accuracy is measured on Model Lab. It is currently behind the bookmaker consensus, so a gap between the two is more likely the model’s than an opportunity.

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

AI prediction · logistic-regression
Ciryl Gane 63% · Josh Hokit 37%
Bookmaker consensus · 18 bookmakers
Ciryl Gane 69% · Josh Hokit 31%
Updated 2 h ago
AI versus market
−5.8 pp for Ciryl Gane
Percentage points. A disagreement, not a tip.

Bookmakers

Bookmaker ↑Ciryl GaneJosh HokitUpdated
888sport1.363.052 h ago
BetAnything1.373.102 h ago
Betclic (FR)1.342.972 h ago
Betfair1.413.102 h ago
Betfair1.413.102 h ago
Betfair Sportsbook1.362.882 h ago
BetOnline.ag1.423.012 h ago
Coolbet1.383.152 h ago
Grosvenor1.272.752 h ago
LiveScore Bet1.373.102 h ago
Paddy Power1.362.882 h ago
Pinnacle1.393.142 h ago
PMU (FR)1.363.102 h ago
Sky Bet1.362.882 h ago
Unibet (FR)1.352.852 h ago
Unibet (UK)1.382.852 h ago
Virgin Bet1.373.102 h ago
Winamax (FR)1.352.902 h ago

Market movement

Not enough history in this range (1 point). History is collected from now on; none is back-filled.

Shows Ciryl Gane’s consensus probability. First observed price is not the bookmaker’s opening price, and the last captured price is not the official closing price.

Head to head

MeasureCiryl GaneJosh Hokit
UFC record since 201311-2-0 (1 NC)4-0-0
Height (cm)193.04185.42
Reach (cm)205.74185.42
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox

“—” means the source did not supply the value. It is not zero.

Forecast revisions

  • first · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression
  • latest · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression