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UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 7 Oct 2023, 01:00 · completed

Alexander Hernandez vs Bill Algeo

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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19 UFC bouts · last fought 3 Oct 2026

Alexander Hernandez

“El Gran Chango”
UFC rec11-8-0
Elo1646
Strike acc41%
Strike def60%
TD defence69%
KO · SUB6 · 0
Age31
Reach183 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinLossWin
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10 UFC bouts · last fought 20 Jul 2024

Bill Algeo

“Senor Perfecto”
UFC rec5-5-0
Elo1508
Strike acc51%
Strike def49%
TD defence54%
KO · SUB1 · 1
Age34
Reach185 cm
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Last 5LossWinWinLossLoss

Head to head

11-8-0
UFC record (2013 on)
5-5-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
6
Wins by KO/TKO
1
0
Wins by submission
1
1646
Elo rating
1508
41%
Striking accuracy
51%
60%
Striking defence
49%
4.24
Landed per min
5.37
4.40
Absorbed per min
3.99
69%
Takedown defence
54%
1.00
Takedowns per 15
1.16
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
31
Age
34
183 cm
Reach
185 cm
Orthodox
Stance
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Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.