UFC Fight Night: Procházka vs. Stirling · 21 Nov 2026, 15:00 · scheduled
Aljamain Sterling vs Kevin Vallejos
Aljamain Sterling 51%49% Kevin Vallejos
Probability of winning, given a decisive result (draws / no contests excluded)
Model logistic-regression · generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · data completeness 100%
Main statistical drivers (associations, not causes)
- age favours Kevin Vallejos
- Elo rating gap favours Aljamain Sterling
- finishing rate favours Kevin Vallejos
Model accuracy is measured on Model Lab. It is currently behind the bookmaker consensus, so a gap between the two is more likely the model’s than an opportunity.
Odds Intelligence
Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.
Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.
Head to head
| Measure | Aljamain Sterling | Kevin Vallejos |
|---|---|---|
| UFC record since 2013 | 18-5-0 | 4-0-0 |
| Height (cm) | 170.18 | 170.18 |
| Reach (cm) | 180.34 | 172.72 |
| Stance | Orthodox | Switch |
“—” means the source did not supply the value. It is not zero.
Forecast revisions
- first · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression
- latest · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression