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UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 12 Jun 2021, 01:00 · completed

Leon Edwards vs Nate Diaz

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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welter weight
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20 UFC bouts · last fought 15 Nov 2025

Leon Edwards

“Rocky”
UFC rec14-5-0 (1 NC)
Elo1787
Strike acc54%
Strike def53%
TD defence64%
KO · SUB3 · 1
Age29
Reach188 cm
Southpaw
Last 5WinWinLossLossLoss
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welter weight
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10 UFC bouts · last fought 10 Sept 2022

Nate Diaz

UFC rec5-5-0
Elo1599
Strike acc47%
Strike def49%
TD defence35%
KO · SUB1 · 2
Age36
Reach193 cm
Southpaw
Last 5LossWinLossLossWin

Head to head

14-5-0
UFC record (2013 on)
5-5-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
3
Wins by KO/TKO
1
1
Wins by submission
2
1787
Elo rating
1599
54%
Striking accuracy
47%
53%
Striking defence
49%
2.60
Landed per min
5.37
2.44
Absorbed per min
5.28
64%
Takedown defence
35%
1.25
Takedowns per 15
0.40
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
29
Age
36
188 cm
Reach
193 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.