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UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 12 Oct 2019, 01:00 · completed

Matt Frevola vs Luis Pena

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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12 UFC bouts · last fought 18 Oct 2025

Matt Frevola

“The SteamRolla”
UFC rec5-6-1
Elo1511
Strike acc40%
Strike def57%
TD defence38%
KO · SUB3 · 0
Age29
Reach180 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinLossLossLoss
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light weight
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8 UFC bouts · last fought 17 Apr 2021

Luis Pena

“Violent Bob Ross”
UFC rec5-3-0
Elo1568
Strike acc47%
Strike def51%
TD defence48%
KO · SUB1 · 1
Age26
Reach191 cm
Southpaw
Last 5WinLossWinLossWin

Head to head

5-6-1
UFC record (2013 on)
5-3-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
3
Wins by KO/TKO
1
0
Wins by submission
1
1511
Elo rating
1568
40%
Striking accuracy
47%
57%
Striking defence
51%
3.38
Landed per min
3.66
3.90
Absorbed per min
3.12
38%
Takedown defence
48%
2.24
Takedowns per 15
1.17
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
29
Age
26
180 cm
Reach
191 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.