UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · 14 Nov 2026, 22:00 · scheduled
Donte Johnson vs Cesar Almeida
Donte Johnson 77%23% Cesar Almeida
Probability of winning, given a decisive result (draws / no contests excluded)
Model logistic-regression · generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · data completeness 100%
Main statistical drivers (associations, not causes)
- age favours Donte Johnson
- Elo rating gap favours Donte Johnson
- striking defence favours Donte Johnson
Model accuracy is measured on Model Lab. It is currently behind the bookmaker consensus, so a gap between the two is more likely the model’s than an opportunity.
Odds Intelligence
Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.
Bookmaker odds currently unavailable. (insufficient bookmakers, 1 usable bookmakers)
Head to head
| Measure | Donte Johnson | Cesar Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| UFC record since 2013 | 3-0-0 | 3-3-0 |
| Height (cm) | 172.72 | 185.42 |
| Reach (cm) | 187.96 | 187.96 |
| Stance | Southpaw | Orthodox |
“—” means the source did not supply the value. It is not zero.
Forecast revisions
- first · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression
- latest · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression