UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker · 7 Nov 2026, 22:00 · scheduled
Jonny Parsons vs Jose Henrique
Probability of winning, given a decisive result (draws / no contests excluded)
Model logistic-regression · generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · data completeness 40%
⚠ Limited evidence: at least one fighter has fewer than 3 prior UFC bouts in the data, so this forecast is less reliable.
- Elo rating gap favours Jonny Parsons
- striking defence favours Jonny Parsons
- career win rate favours Jose Henrique
Model accuracy is measured on Model Lab. It is currently behind the bookmaker consensus, so a gap between the two is more likely the model’s than an opportunity.
Odds Intelligence
Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.
Bookmakers
| Bookmaker ↑ | Jonny Parsons | Jose Henrique | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 2.50 | 1.53 | 2 h ago |
| Grosvenor | 2.43 | 1.35 | 2 h ago |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65 | 1.44 | 2 h ago |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65 | 1.44 | 2 h ago |
Market movement
Not enough history in this range (1 point). History is collected from now on; none is back-filled.
Shows Jonny Parsons’s consensus probability. First observed price is not the bookmaker’s opening price, and the last captured price is not the official closing price.
Head to head
| Measure | Jonny Parsons | Jose Henrique |
|---|---|---|
| UFC record since 2013 | 1-0-0 | None in data |
| Height (cm) | 175.26 | — |
| Reach (cm) | 175.26 | — |
| Stance | Orthodox | — |
“—” means the source did not supply the value. It is not zero.
Forecast revisions
- first · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression
- latest · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression