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UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 5 Oct 2024, 01:00 · completed

Carla Esparza vs Tecia Pennington

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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women's straw weight
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16 UFC bouts · last fought 5 Oct 2024

Carla Esparza

“Cookie Monster”
UFC rec10-6-0
Elo1663
Strike acc39%
Strike def54%
TD defence47%
KO · SUB1 · 1
Age36
Reach160 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinLossLoss
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women's straw weight
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19 UFC bouts · last fought 8 Nov 2025

Tecia Pennington

“Tiny Tornado”
UFC rec11-8-0
Elo1594
Strike acc48%
Strike def62%
TD defence63%
KO · SUB1 · 1
Age35
Reach152 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossLossWinWinLoss

Head to head

10-6-0
UFC record (2013 on)
11-8-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
1
Wins by KO/TKO
1
1
Wins by submission
1
1663
Elo rating
1594
39%
Striking accuracy
48%
54%
Striking defence
62%
2.19
Landed per min
4.73
2.87
Absorbed per min
3.48
47%
Takedown defence
63%
3.28
Takedowns per 15
0.56
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
36
Age
35
160 cm
Reach
152 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.