UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · 14 Nov 2026, 22:00 · scheduled
Jared Gordon vs Melquizael Costa
Jared Gordon 31%69% Melquizael Costa
Probability of winning, given a decisive result (draws / no contests excluded)
Model logistic-regression · generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · data completeness 100%
Main statistical drivers (associations, not causes)
- age favours Melquizael Costa
- Elo rating gap favours Melquizael Costa
- finishing rate favours Melquizael Costa
Model accuracy is measured on Model Lab. It is currently behind the bookmaker consensus, so a gap between the two is more likely the model’s than an opportunity.
Odds Intelligence
Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.
Bookmaker odds currently unavailable. (insufficient bookmakers, 1 usable bookmakers)
Head to head
| Measure | Jared Gordon | Melquizael Costa |
|---|---|---|
| UFC record since 2013 | 9-8-0 (1 NC) | 7-3-0 |
| Height (cm) | 175.26 | 177.8 |
| Reach (cm) | 172.72 | 180.34 |
| Stance | Orthodox | Southpaw |
“—” means the source did not supply the value. It is not zero.
Forecast revisions
- first · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression
- latest · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression