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UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 18 Mar 2023, 00:00 · completed

Sam Patterson vs Yanal Ashmouz

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

red corner
light weight
Illustrated avatar
7 UFC bouts · last fought 25 Jul 2026

Sam Patterson

UFC rec5-2-0
Elo1623
Strike acc42%
Strike def61%
TD defence50%
KO · SUB3 · 2
Age26
Reach198 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinLossWin
blue corner
light weight
Illustrated avatar
4 UFC bouts · last fought 7 Jun 2025

Yanal Ashmouz

“Red Fox”
UFC rec2-2-0
Elo1517
Strike acc51%
Strike def50%
TD defence64%
KO · SUB1 · 0
Age27
Reach175 cm
Orthodox
Last 4WinLossWinLoss

Head to head

5-2-0
UFC record (2013 on)
2-2-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
3
Wins by KO/TKO
1
2
Wins by submission
0
1623
Elo rating
1517
42%
Striking accuracy
51%
61%
Striking defence
50%
3.81
Landed per min
2.88
2.80
Absorbed per min
4.78
50%
Takedown defence
64%
0.85
Takedowns per 15
3.24
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
26
Age
27
198 cm
Reach
175 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.