UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker · 7 Nov 2026, 22:00 · scheduled
Mitch Raposo vs Marcos Degli
Probability of winning, given a decisive result (draws / no contests excluded)
Model logistic-regression · generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · data completeness 50%
⚠ Limited evidence: at least one fighter has fewer than 3 prior UFC bouts in the data, so this forecast is less reliable.
- striking output favours Marcos Degli
- durability favours Mitch Raposo
- UFC experience favours Mitch Raposo
Model accuracy is measured on Model Lab. It is currently behind the bookmaker consensus, so a gap between the two is more likely the model’s than an opportunity.
Odds Intelligence
Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.
Bookmakers
| Bookmaker ↑ | Mitch Raposo | Marcos Degli | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 2.85 | 1.40 | 78 min ago |
| BetAnything | 2.70 | 1.45 | 78 min ago |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.85 | 1.45 | 77 min ago |
| Betsson | 2.75 | 1.43 | 78 min ago |
| Betway | 2.75 | 1.44 | 78 min ago |
| Coolbet | 2.85 | 1.45 | 78 min ago |
| Grosvenor | 2.65 | 1.29 | 77 min ago |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.95 | 1.40 | 78 min ago |
| Nordic Bet | 2.80 | 1.44 | 77 min ago |
| Pinnacle | 2.81 | 1.47 | 77 min ago |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.70 | 1.42 | 77 min ago |
| Virgin Bet | 2.95 | 1.40 | 77 min ago |
Market movement
Not enough history in this range (1 point). History is collected from now on; none is back-filled.
Shows Mitch Raposo’s consensus probability. First observed price is not the bookmaker’s opening price, and the last captured price is not the official closing price.
Head to head
| Measure | Mitch Raposo | Marcos Degli |
|---|---|---|
| UFC record since 2013 | 2-2-0 | None in data |
| Height (cm) | 165.1 | — |
| Reach (cm) | 162.56 | — |
| Stance | Switch | — |
“—” means the source did not supply the value. It is not zero.
Forecast revisions
- first · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression
- latest · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression