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UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 29 Jul 2023, 01:00 · completed

Michael Chiesa vs Kevin Holland

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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welter weight
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21 UFC bouts · last fought 28 Mar 2026

Michael Chiesa

“Maverick”
UFC rec14-7-0
Elo1710
Strike acc40%
Strike def58%
TD defence66%
KO · SUB0 · 8
Age35
Reach191 cm
Southpaw
Last 5LossWinWinWinWin
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USAwelter weight
Photo of Kevin Holland
Photo: The White House · Public domain
29 UFC bouts · last fought 11 Apr 2026

Kevin Holland

“Trailblazer”
UFC rec16-12-0 (1 NC)
Elo1643
Strike acc50%
Strike def50%
TD defence58%
KO · SUB5 · 6
Age30
Reach206 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinLossLossWin

Head to head

14-7-0
UFC record (2013 on)
16-12-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
29-15-0
0
Wins by KO/TKO
5
8
Wins by submission
6
1710
Elo rating
1643
40%
Striking accuracy
50%
58%
Striking defence
50%
2.00
Landed per min
4.18
1.71
Absorbed per min
3.30
66%
Takedown defence
58%
3.08
Takedowns per 15
0.83
Unavailable
Country
USA
35
Age
30
191 cm
Reach
206 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.