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UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 16 Apr 2022, 01:00 · completed

Rafa Garcia vs Jesse Ronson

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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12 UFC bouts · last fought 12 Sept 2026

Rafa Garcia

“Gifted”
UFC rec7-5-0
Elo1609
Strike acc44%
Strike def61%
TD defence77%
KO · SUB1 · 1
Age27
Reach178 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossWinWinWinLoss
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6 UFC bouts · last fought 1 Oct 2022

Jesse Ronson

“The Body Snatcher”
UFC rec0-5-0 (1 NC)
Elo1308
Strike acc48%
Strike def57%
TD defence57%
KO · SUB0 · 0
Age36
Reach178 cm
Southpaw
Last 5LossLossNo contestLossLoss

Head to head

7-5-0
UFC record (2013 on)
0-5-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
1
Wins by KO/TKO
0
1
Wins by submission
0
1609
Elo rating
1308
44%
Striking accuracy
48%
61%
Striking defence
57%
4.33
Landed per min
3.54
4.68
Absorbed per min
3.39
77%
Takedown defence
57%
3.02
Takedowns per 15
0.46
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
27
Age
36
178 cm
Reach
178 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.