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UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 24 Oct 2020, 01:00 · completed

Joel Alvarez vs Alexander Yakovlev

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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light weight
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12 UFC bouts · last fought 15 Aug 2026

Joel Alvarez

“El Fenomeno”
UFC rec8-4-0
Elo1630
Strike acc53%
Strike def48%
TD defence48%
KO · SUB4 · 3
Age27
Reach196 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinWinLossLoss
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light weight
Illustrated avatar
9 UFC bouts · last fought 24 Oct 2020

Alexander Yakovlev

“Russian Thunder”
UFC rec3-6-0
Elo1427
Strike acc47%
Strike def59%
TD defence72%
KO · SUB1 · 1
Age36
Reach188 cm
Southpaw
Last 5LossLossWinLossLoss

Head to head

8-4-0
UFC record (2013 on)
3-6-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
4
Wins by KO/TKO
1
3
Wins by submission
1
1630
Elo rating
1427
53%
Striking accuracy
47%
48%
Striking defence
59%
4.59
Landed per min
1.74
4.13
Absorbed per min
2.41
48%
Takedown defence
72%
0.15
Takedowns per 15
1.66
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
27
Age
36
196 cm
Reach
188 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.