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UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 9 May 2020, 01:00 · completed

Bryce Mitchell vs Charles Rosa

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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13 UFC bouts · last fought 6 Jun 2026

Bryce Mitchell

“Thug Nasty”
UFC rec10-3-0
Elo1714
Strike acc59%
Strike def59%
TD defence38%
KO · SUB1 · 2
Age25
Reach178 cm
Southpaw
Last 5LossWinLossWinWin
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feather weight
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13 UFC bouts · last fought 23 Jul 2022

Charles Rosa

“Boston Strong”
UFC rec5-8-0
Elo1419
Strike acc36%
Strike def47%
TD defence38%
KO · SUB0 · 2
Age33
Reach175 cm
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Last 5LossWinLossLossLoss

Head to head

10-3-0
UFC record (2013 on)
5-8-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
1
Wins by KO/TKO
0
2
Wins by submission
2
1714
Elo rating
1419
59%
Striking accuracy
36%
59%
Striking defence
47%
2.19
Landed per min
3.08
1.51
Absorbed per min
3.86
38%
Takedown defence
38%
3.12
Takedowns per 15
1.67
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
25
Age
33
178 cm
Reach
175 cm
Southpaw
Stance
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Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.