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UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · 14 Nov 2026, 22:00 · scheduled

Caio Borralho vs Yousri Belgaroui

Caio Borralho 44%56% Yousri Belgaroui

Probability of winning, given a decisive result (draws / no contests excluded)

Model logistic-regression · generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · data completeness 100%

Main statistical drivers (associations, not causes)
  1. Elo rating gap favours Caio Borralho
  2. striking output favours Yousri Belgaroui
  3. finishing rate favours Yousri Belgaroui

Model accuracy is measured on Model Lab. It is currently behind the bookmaker consensus, so a gap between the two is more likely the model’s than an opportunity.

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

AI prediction · logistic-regression
Caio Borralho 44% · Yousri Belgaroui 56%
Bookmaker consensus · 10 bookmakers
Caio Borralho 59% · Yousri Belgaroui 41%
Updated 2 h ago
AI versus market
−14.1 pp for Caio Borralho
Percentage points. A disagreement, not a tip.

Bookmakers

Bookmaker ↑Caio BorralhoYousri BelgarouiUpdated
BetAnything1.622.302 h ago
Betclic (FR)1.602.202 h ago
BetOnline.ag1.622.362 h ago
Betsson1.592.322 h ago
Grosvenor1.532.022 h ago
LiveScore Bet1.672.202 h ago
Nordic Bet1.582.302 h ago
Unibet (FR)1.421.992 h ago
Unibet (UK)1.582.252 h ago
Virgin Bet1.672.202 h ago

Market movement

Not enough history in this range (1 point). History is collected from now on; none is back-filled.

Shows Caio Borralho’s consensus probability. First observed price is not the bookmaker’s opening price, and the last captured price is not the official closing price.

Head to head

MeasureCaio BorralhoYousri Belgaroui
UFC record since 20138-1-03-0-0
Height (cm)185.42198.12
Reach (cm)190.5200.66
StanceSouthpawOrthodox

“—” means the source did not supply the value. It is not zero.

Forecast revisions

  • first · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression
  • latest · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression