UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · 14 Nov 2026, 22:00 · scheduled
Evan Elder vs Samuel Sanches
Evan Elder 52%48% Samuel Sanches
Probability of winning, given a decisive result (draws / no contests excluded)
Model logistic-regression · generated 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · data completeness 50%
⚠ Limited evidence: at least one fighter has fewer than 3 prior UFC bouts in the data, so this forecast is less reliable.
Main statistical drivers (associations, not causes)
- striking output favours Evan Elder
- UFC experience favours Evan Elder
- strikes absorbed favours Samuel Sanches
Model accuracy is measured on Model Lab. It is currently behind the bookmaker consensus, so a gap between the two is more likely the model’s than an opportunity.
Odds Intelligence
Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.
Bookmaker odds currently unavailable. (insufficient bookmakers, 1 usable bookmakers)
Head to head
| Measure | Evan Elder | Samuel Sanches |
|---|---|---|
| UFC record since 2013 | 3-2-0 | None in data |
| Height (cm) | 177.8 | — |
| Reach (cm) | 182.88 | — |
| Stance | Switch | — |
“—” means the source did not supply the value. It is not zero.
Forecast revisions
- first · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression
- latest · 2 Nov 2026, 21:51 · logistic-regression