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UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 26 Sept 2020, 01:00 · completed

Israel Adesanya vs Paulo Costa

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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middle weight
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19 UFC bouts · last fought 28 Mar 2026

Israel Adesanya

“The Last Stylebender”
UFC rec13-6-0
Elo1698
Strike acc48%
Strike def56%
TD defence76%
KO · SUB5 · 0
Age31
Reach203 cm
Switch
Last 5WinLossLossLossLoss
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middle weight
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12 UFC bouts · last fought 11 Apr 2026

Paulo Costa

“The Eraser”
UFC rec8-4-0
Elo1698
Strike acc59%
Strike def49%
TD defence78%
KO · SUB5 · 0
Age29
Reach183 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossLossWinWin

Head to head

13-6-0
UFC record (2013 on)
8-4-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
5
Wins by KO/TKO
5
0
Wins by submission
0
1698
Elo rating
1698
48%
Striking accuracy
59%
56%
Striking defence
49%
4.03
Landed per min
6.15
3.22
Absorbed per min
5.96
76%
Takedown defence
78%
0.05
Takedowns per 15
0.30
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
31
Age
29
203 cm
Reach
183 cm
Switch
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.