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UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 9 May 2026, 01:00 · completed

Grant Dawson vs Mateusz Rebecki

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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light weight
Illustrated avatar
16 UFC bouts · last fought 24 Oct 2026

Grant Dawson

“KGD”
UFC rec13-2-1
Elo1798
Strike acc51%
Strike def45%
TD defence70%
KO · SUB2 · 5
Age32
Reach183 cm
Switch
Last 5WinWinLossWinWin
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light weight
Illustrated avatar
9 UFC bouts · last fought 1 Aug 2026

Mateusz Rebecki

UFC rec5-4-0
Elo1573
Strike acc49%
Strike def55%
TD defence53%
KO · SUB2 · 1
Age33
Reach168 cm
Southpaw
Last 5WinLossLossLossWin

Head to head

13-2-1
UFC record (2013 on)
5-4-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
2
Wins by KO/TKO
2
5
Wins by submission
1
1798
Elo rating
1573
51%
Striking accuracy
49%
45%
Striking defence
55%
3.11
Landed per min
5.43
2.20
Absorbed per min
4.29
70%
Takedown defence
53%
3.62
Takedowns per 15
2.86
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
32
Age
33
183 cm
Reach
168 cm
Switch
Stance
Southpaw

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.