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UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 26 Apr 2025, 01:00 · completed

Chris Gutierrez vs John Castaneda

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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15 UFC bouts · last fought 4 Oct 2025

Chris Gutierrez

“El Guapo”
UFC rec10-4-1
Elo1666
Strike acc58%
Strike def63%
TD defence68%
KO · SUB3 · 0
Age34
Reach170 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinLossWinWinLoss
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10 UFC bouts · last fought 26 Sept 2026

John Castaneda

“Sexi Mexi”
UFC rec4-5-1
Elo1503
Strike acc52%
Strike def55%
TD defence74%
KO · SUB1 · 1
Age33
Reach180 cm
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Last 5WinLossLossDrawLoss

Head to head

10-4-1
UFC record (2013 on)
4-5-1
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
3
Wins by KO/TKO
1
0
Wins by submission
1
1666
Elo rating
1503
58%
Striking accuracy
52%
63%
Striking defence
55%
4.40
Landed per min
5.00
2.65
Absorbed per min
5.07
68%
Takedown defence
74%
0.30
Takedowns per 15
1.26
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
34
Age
33
170 cm
Reach
180 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Switch

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.