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UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 16 Dec 2023, 00:00 · completed

Josh Emmett vs Bryce Mitchell

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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17 UFC bouts · last fought 14 Mar 2026

Josh Emmett

UFC rec10-7-0
Elo1625
Strike acc36%
Strike def60%
TD defence44%
KO · SUB4 · 0
Age38
Reach178 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossWinLossLossLoss
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13 UFC bouts · last fought 6 Jun 2026

Bryce Mitchell

“Thug Nasty”
UFC rec10-3-0
Elo1714
Strike acc59%
Strike def59%
TD defence38%
KO · SUB1 · 2
Age29
Reach178 cm
Southpaw
Last 5LossWinLossWinWin

Head to head

10-7-0
UFC record (2013 on)
10-3-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
4
Wins by KO/TKO
1
0
Wins by submission
2
1625
Elo rating
1714
36%
Striking accuracy
59%
60%
Striking defence
59%
3.67
Landed per min
2.19
4.52
Absorbed per min
1.51
44%
Takedown defence
38%
1.07
Takedowns per 15
3.12
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
38
Age
29
178 cm
Reach
178 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.