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UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 1 Jun 2024, 01:00 · completed

Islam Makhachev vs Dustin Poirier

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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light weight
Illustrated avatar
19 UFC bouts · last fought 15 Aug 2026

Islam Makhachev

UFC rec18-1-0
Elo2010
Strike acc58%
Strike def61%
TD defence91%
KO · SUB3 · 8
Age32
Reach178 cm
Southpaw
Last 5WinWinWinWinWin
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light weight
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26 UFC bouts · last fought 19 Jul 2025

Dustin Poirier

“The Diamond”
UFC rec17-8-0 (1 NC)
Elo1748
Strike acc50%
Strike def51%
TD defence63%
KO · SUB11 · 1
Age35
Reach183 cm
Southpaw
Last 5WinLossWinLossLoss

Head to head

18-1-0
UFC record (2013 on)
17-8-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
3
Wins by KO/TKO
11
8
Wins by submission
1
2010
Elo rating
1748
58%
Striking accuracy
50%
61%
Striking defence
51%
2.27
Landed per min
5.52
1.42
Absorbed per min
4.96
91%
Takedown defence
63%
3.22
Takedowns per 15
1.09
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
32
Age
35
178 cm
Reach
183 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.