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UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 6 Aug 2016, 01:00 · completed

Cub Swanson vs Tatsuya Kawajiri

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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22 UFC bouts · last fought 11 Apr 2026

Cub Swanson

UFC rec13-9-0
Elo1643
Strike acc53%
Strike def58%
TD defence75%
KO · SUB5 · 0
Age32
Reach178 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossWinLossWinWin
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6 UFC bouts · last fought 6 Aug 2016

Tatsuya Kawajiri

“Crusher”
UFC rec3-3-0
Elo1509
Strike acc47%
Strike def37%
TD defence50%
KO · SUB0 · 1
Age38
Reach175 cm
Orthodox
Last 5LossWinWinLossLoss

Head to head

13-9-0
UFC record (2013 on)
3-3-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
5
Wins by KO/TKO
0
0
Wins by submission
1
1643
Elo rating
1509
53%
Striking accuracy
47%
58%
Striking defence
37%
5.39
Landed per min
1.68
4.55
Absorbed per min
3.02
75%
Takedown defence
50%
0.58
Takedowns per 15
3.34
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
32
Age
38
178 cm
Reach
175 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.