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UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 9 Oct 2021, 01:00 · completed

Tim Elliott vs Matheus Nicolau

No forecast available for this bout yet.

No validated model has produced a forecast. See Model Lab.

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fly weight
Illustrated avatar
21 UFC bouts · last fought 12 Sept 2026

Tim Elliott

UFC rec10-11-0
Elo1590
Strike acc43%
Strike def54%
TD defence59%
KO · SUB0 · 3
Age34
Reach168 cm
Southpaw
Last 5LossWinWinLossWin
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fly weight
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11 UFC bouts · last fought 19 Oct 2024

Matheus Nicolau

UFC rec7-4-0
Elo1586
Strike acc52%
Strike def66%
TD defence90%
KO · SUB1 · 1
Age28
Reach168 cm
Orthodox
Last 5WinWinLossLossLoss

Head to head

10-11-0
UFC record (2013 on)
7-4-0
Unavailable
Pro record (ESPN)
Unavailable
0
Wins by KO/TKO
1
3
Wins by submission
1
1590
Elo rating
1586
43%
Striking accuracy
52%
54%
Striking defence
66%
3.52
Landed per min
3.31
2.95
Absorbed per min
2.98
59%
Takedown defence
90%
3.71
Takedowns per 15
1.22
Unavailable
Country
Unavailable
34
Age
28
168 cm
Reach
168 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox

Same sources and limits as each card’s full stats: UFC fights since 2013, strike rates from the bouts that carry strike data. Bars show each fighter’s share of the pair’s combined value; a longer bar is not always better (absorbed strikes, for example).

Odds Intelligence

Research benchmark only. Bookmaker prices never feed the prediction model.

Bookmaker odds currently unavailable.

Forecast revisions

None recorded.